ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch) – Technical & Quantitative Valuation Analysis

Posted by Investing Freak on May 26, 2013
General / Comments Off on ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch) – Technical & Quantitative Valuation Analysis

UPDATE: Scroll to the end to see the May 2013 Chart after reading the entire story (if you want)

Abercrombie & Fitch’s Q3 earnings are out, and they’re up 40%, which has share prices up a whopping 34% today. – The Motley Fool

What’s there to do when you feel like you missed the boat? Backtrack and check out what you can learn from it so you can catch the next hot one of course.  Besides the Quarterly earnings its good to look at the annual data as well provided to us by Yahoo Finance.

 Technical View:
Each trader that uses technical charting has their own timeframe and indicators but after years of research and trials the 80/20 rule applies here too.  80% of the move can be guessed by 20% of the indicators.   The ones we use here at InvestingFreak are 50, 70, and 110 Exponential moving averages in the Weekly OHLC candlesticks.  We then apply trendlines to look for patterns as well as support and resistance.

Support: near the $30 level
Resistance: Downward trendline at $35
Resistance: EMA’s of (50) at $40.37, (70) at $42.56, (110) at $44.49
The support held and some resistance broke but ANF has a tough battle to fight the $42.50-$44.50 range technically speaking.

Quantitative View:
The Data for this part of the summary was pulled from yahoo finance and the last price was set at $31.18 to represent the day before the spike.  In this quant view the simple KISS approach was also implemented (Keep It Simple Stupid) and mainly the Balance Sheet and Income statements along with a few basic data points were used to come up with the conclusion.

Some of the basic results are highlighted below along with others that won’t be mentioned.  Overall quant score was a 75% which makes this stock a good investment based on the numbers provided.


The results are mixed but unless $ANF can clear the $42.50-$44.50 range, the combined hybrid score leaves just too much downside to be had.


May 2013 Update
Earnings got released again and they were worse than analysts expected but look at what has happened to ANF after it cleared the $44.50 resistance on the weekly (which is now support).

The $55 line is a bit of resistance but on the down side all moving averages will now act as support should ANF drop.

Thanks for reading.

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Play the Stock Chart Game

Posted by Investing Freak on January 11, 2013
General / Comments Off on Play the Stock Chart Game

So you think you have a good eye for buying stocks purely based on charts?

Well there has been a great game (hopefully won’t die anytime soon) called to help you prove yourself worthy and to also prevent you for playing the market at this crazy time just for the heck of it.

How the game works

When playing Chartgame, the computer will present you with a random historical stock chart of an actual large cap (S&P 500) security, without telling you which company and time period the chart represents.
You are then given the opportunity to reveal the stock chart one day at a time, selecting to “buy” or “sell” the stock at various times. After a maximum of one year is played for the security, the actual name of the company, and what time period the graph was for is revealed, and you move on to another stock chart for an unknown company and time period.

You are rated on how much profit you made over the days you were invested.

The computer compares you to a strategy of “buy and hold” on the stocks played. Your goal is to beat that.

The following Screenshots serve as a preview from my few play trades today.

When you click play you are greeted with a chart like the one below and some technical indicators on the right side.
Personally I opted for Trading volume, a 50Day EMA. SInce I chose a 4 year chart this is more like a 50 week EMA. 

You then click Buy, Short or Time-lapse (aka sit and watch)
When you’re satisfied with a trade you can click sell stock or exit short.  Holding down on time-lapse moves things ahead.
Once the play interval is finished you are presented with the chart below revealing the Company name and Symbol, and the dates the chart came from.  On the right side you can see your position and buy and hold position performance.

You can click either Next stock Chart or View Track Record (see below)

Save some real money if you feel like just playing the market for the sake of it.
 If you have a real play go and do it in the real market.

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Euro to reach 1.17 versus Dollar in 2012 ($EURUSD)

Posted by Investing Freak on May 29, 2012
Market Analysis / Comments Off on Euro to reach 1.17 versus Dollar in 2012 ($EURUSD)

With the current re-ignition of market turmoil in Europe and their unifying currency, the Euro is in trouble again in part due to fears of Greek default an exit from the Euro, the Spanish bank bailouts and many other issues currently facing European countries (as well as US).

News are absorbed in the market faster than you can blink with today’s technological tools and robot trading programs so its time to exploit my perceived strength which is long term technical analysis.

The charts you will see below are very simple charts of the Euro as far back as I could get data for and the conclusion I came to is that $EURUSD will reach the 1.17 mark again within months in 2012.

Note: The Bigger and longer term version of the chart can be found by clicking on the image below.

Would love to hear your opinion and take on this so feel free to comment or tweet and include @investingfreak


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S&P 500 Weekly Chart ($SPY, $SPX)

Posted by Investing Freak on May 25, 2012
General / Comments Off on S&P 500 Weekly Chart ($SPY, $SPX)

Today the S&P 500 was taking a break and heading to the Hamptons for the long weekend (or maybe for the entire summer).
Is the market poised to absorb most negative news that’s already out there or what?

The Weekly chart looks to be bouncing although there are always fake-outs. For any newcomer that is new to charting just a note that each candlestick on the chart represents 1 WEEK of price movement so what happens on Tuesday when the market opens has no real effect on this chart until close on Friday.

The 50 and 70 Weekly Simple Moving averages are below the price supporting it and it looks like a trendline from last October is also still intact and providing some support and if this market has legs we might see 2-4% move to the upside until the Greek elections a month from now.

Click the chart to enlarge it.

I had long SPY call options and upon wanting to add today my subconscious mind decided to liquidate. We shall see if its smarter than my brain and can feel something I’m not feeling or seeing.

Have a safe memorial weekend,

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$NUAN (Nuance Communications) “Talk, Don’t Type” is the new hype

Posted by Investing Freak on May 22, 2012
General / Comments Off on $NUAN (Nuance Communications) “Talk, Don’t Type” is the new hype

$NUAN – Nuance Communications currently trades at 21.80.
It has an average weekly (volatility) move of $2.08 which means on any given week the stock could move at least $2 on average. That is about a 9% average move per week (Calculating 2/21.80).  

Time to get technical and check out the chart for Nuance.
Click the Chart for a fuller image

They have mostly beat their earnings estimates and numbers seem to add up nicely so lets examine the recent news as well as the recent 200 page SEC 10-K Filing below (along with some videos).

What Nuance Communications does:
Nuance Communications, Inc. is a leading provider of voice and language solutions for businesses and consumers around the world.

For fiscal 2011 73% of revenue was generated in the United States and 27%, was generated by our international operations  in Australia, Belgium, Canada, Germany, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom.

Effective in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011, we are organized in four segments; Healthcare (38%), Mobile and Consumer (28%), Enterprise (21%), and Imaging (13%). The increase in the proportion of revenue generated domestically was primarily due to contributions from our Healthcare on-demand solutions, which are sold predominantly in the United States

Healthcare (38% of Revenue)
The healthcare industry is under significant pressure to streamline operations, reduce costs and improve patient care. In recent years, healthcare organizations such as hospitals, clinics, medical groups, physicians’ offices and insurance providers have increasingly turned to speech recognition solutions to automate manual processes such as the dictation and transcription of patient records.

Direct distribution is supplemented by distributors and partnerships with electronic medical records application and other healthcare IT providers such as 3M, Allscripts, Cerner, Epic, GE, IBM and McKesson.

Mobile and Consumer (28% of Revenue)
We help consumers use the powerful capabilities of their phones, cars, tablets, desktop and portable computers, personal navigation devices and other consumer electronics by enabling the use of voice commands, text-to-speech
and enhanced text input solutions to control and interact with these devices more easily and naturally, and to access the array of content and services available on the Internet.

Our solutions are used by mobile phone, automotive, personal navigation device, computer and other consumer electronics manufacturers and their suppliers, including Amazon, Apple, Audi, BMW, Ford, Garmin, GM, HTC, LG Electronics, Mercedes Benz, Nokia, Samsung, T-Mobile, TomTom and Toyota.

Our significant debt could adversely affect our financial health and prevent us from fulfilling our obligations. We have a significant amount of debt. While they have significant debt, their Long Term debt to assets ratio has decreased in the past 3 years from 25% to 20%.  And their Gross Profit Margin has remained at 62%.

If we are unable to maintain profitability, the market price for our stock may decline, perhaps substantially.

Voice and language technologies may not continue to garner widespread acceptance, which could limit our ability to grow our voice and language business.  The market for voice and language technologies is relatively new and rapidly evolving. Our ability to increase revenue in the future depends in large measure on the continuing acceptance of these technologies in general and our products in particular.

The individual markets in which we compete are highly competitive, and are rapidly changing. Within voice and language, we compete with AT&T, Microsoft, Google, and other smaller providers. Within healthcare, we compete with Medquist and other smaller providers.

Some of our current or potential competitors, such as Adobe, Microsoft and Google, have significantly greater financial, technical and marketing resources than we do. These competitors may be able to respond more rapidly than we can to new or emerging technologies or changes in customer requirements. They may also devote greater resources to the development, promotion and sale of their products than we do.

Because we operate worldwide, our business is subject to risks associated with doing business internationally. Most of our international revenue is generated by sales in Europe and Asia. In addition, some of our products are developed and manufactured outside the United States and we have a large number of employees in India that provide transcription services.  Because we have international subsidiaries and distributors that operate and sell our products outside the United States, we are exposed to the risk of changes in foreign currency exchange rates.

Business Acquisitions
In 2011 Acquired Equitrac, a leading provider of print management solutions, to expand the offerings of our Imaging segment.  We also acquired SVOX, a Swiss based seller of speech recognition, dialog, and text-to-speech software products for the automotive, mobile and consumer electronics industries in our Mobile and Consumer segment.   On October 6, 2011, we acquired Swype, Inc., a provider of software that allows users to type by sliding a finger or stylus from letter to letter.


Expand Global Presence.  We intend to leverage opportunities in emerging markets such as Asia and Latin America.

Segment Revenue
Fiscal 2011 Compared to Fiscal 2010

Healthcare segment revenue increased by $77.6 million (18.5%) due to continued strong demand of our Healthcare license offerings resulting in part from continued strength in Dragon Medical solutions.

Mobile and Consumer segment revenue increased by $83.8 million (42.5%) due to increased volume of transactions in our connected mobile services as well as professional services revenue to support the implementation of recent handset and automobile design wins.    The world’s leading automotive manufacturers look to Nuance for groundbreaking speech technologies. That’s because we anticipate industry needs and drive innovation.  Car Manufacturers: Audi, BMW, Fiat, Ford, Hyundai, Mercedes, Jaguar, Porsche ,PSA Peugeot Citroën, Renault, Volkswagen.  Below is a Video of the just announced Dragon Drive (5-22-2012)


Disclaimer: Currently No Position in $NUAN as of this writing as the technical price points don’t satisfy my tastes but fundamentally everything checks out fairly well.

Feel free to comment below and share your insights.

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Investing in $FB (Facebook)? Where’s the “dislike” button!

Posted by Investing Freak on May 17, 2012
General / Comments Off on Investing in $FB (Facebook)? Where’s the “dislike” button!

It’s a day before the overhyped Facebook IPO & I’ve downloaded the SEC  Form S-1 Registration Statement for Facebook, Inc. which spans 228 pages and I’ll do my best to point out the important parts for your benefit.

The IPO Price is expected to be $36-$39 per share when it trades Friday and the book value for facebook is around $30 so that’s immediate price dilution for the early birds. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor & I also don’t intend to get into the $FB IPO bubble and the reasons below show why you should be cautious. There might be a buck or two to be made but overall it’s a bad idea investment wise, Facebook might be a great product but revenue is what shareholders/investors need to get a return on investment.

Facebook has 901 million MONTHLY active users but just 526 million DAILY active users as of March 2012 and there were 372 million in March 2011 so the 41% increase is there so far in active users but how many click on ads? Do you?

(Sweet Ads, but do you think many people click? )

How Facebook makes money:
Advertising: They allow advertisers to target specific geographic areas or demographics based on what is shared by facebook users in terms of age, gender, etc.  Facebook hopes to get a bigger piece of the advertising pie which as of 2010 data was about $588 billion worldwide.
Payments: Selling of virtual & digital goods by app developers through the Facebook platform which includes things like games. This is a $9 billion industry that Facebook is trying to get a piece of by requiring Payments integration in games on Facebook, and may seek to extend the use of Payments to other types of apps in the future.

According to the income data listed on their page 3 Months Ended 2011 the revenue for Daily Active user was $1.97 and in 2012 was $2.01 which is an increase per user.  They did however spend more money in marketing and research and development so when you factor in Net income instead of revenue their income per Daily active user fell from $0.63 to $0.39.

If we take Monthly Active users (MAU) in 2009 revenue per user was $2.16, 2010 was $3.25 and 2011 was $4.39, net income of $0.60, $1.00, $1.18 respectively per Monthly active user.

Every company has to disclose foreseen risks in their SEC filings and below are a few that stand out:

Mr. Zuckerberg, after our initial public offering will control approximately 55.8% of the voting power.
So Mark will have the ability to control the outcome of matters submitted to our stockholders for approval including the election of our directors, as well as the overall management and direction of our company.  VERY NICE! Let’s pay for a piece of the pie controlled by one person who has the power and ability to do as he wishes with your hard earned money.

Our financial performance has been and will continue to be significantly determined by our success in adding, retaining, and engaging active users. We anticipate that our active user growth rate will decline over time as the size of our active user base increases. A number of other social networking companies that achieved early popularity have since seen their active user bases or levels of engagement decline, in some cases precipitously. There is no guarantee that we will not experience a similar erosion of our active user base or engagement levels. A decrease in user retention, growth, or engagement could render Facebook less attractive to developers and advertisers, which may have a material and adverse impact on our revenue, business, financial condition, and results of operations.

The substantial majority of our revenue is currently generated from third parties advertising on Facebook. Advertising accounts for 82% of our revenue and 18% from platforms including Zynga games. As is common in the industry, our advertisers typically do not have long-term advertising commitments with us. Advertisers will not continue to do business with us, or they will reduce the prices they are willing to pay to advertise with us, if we do not deliver ads and other commercial content in an effective manner, or if they do not believe that their investment in advertising with us will generate a competitive return relative to other alternatives.
NOTE: As of May 14th GM just stopped their advertising campaign and others may follow suit as they realize they’re not getting the expected value for their ad dollars.

We expect our rates of growth will decline in the future.
Historically, our user growth has been a primary driver of growth in our revenue. We expect that our user growth and revenue growth rates will decline as the size of our active user base increases and as we achieve higher market penetration rates. As our growth rates decline, investors’ perceptions of our business may be adversely affected and the market price of our Class A common stock could decline.

We currently depend on the continued services and performance of our key personnel, including Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl K. Sandberg. Although we have entered into employment agreements with Mr. Zuckerberg and Ms. Sandberg, the agreements have no specific duration and constitute at-will employment.

A letter from Mark Zuckerberg (partial)
Facebook was not originally founded to be a company. We’ve always cared primarily about our social mission, the services we’re building and the people who use them.   Simply put: we don’t build services to make money; we make money to build better services.  And we think this is a good way to build something. These days I think more and more people want to use services from companies that believe in something beyond simply maximizing profits.

So there you have it the SEC form dissected, now go invest with your friends!

(Facebook IPO Investors)


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Stocktwits Symposium With Josh Brown, J.C Parets, Todd Sullivan & Phil Pearlman

Posted by Investing Freak on May 09, 2012
General / 12 Comments

Please note that this post is 1800 words in length and even though I have tried to proofread it, it might not be perfect but I couldn’t pass up writing about it… Enjoy and do listen to the full audios from the speakers as it was a very interesting lineup.

The StockTwits Symposium at Harvard took place on May 8th from 4pm to 7:30PM and covered a variety of topics including trader & market psychology, technical analysis, fundamental analysis (value investing) and insights on economics data from a money manager.

The lineup featured Todd Sullivan, Josh Brown, JC Parets & Dr Phil Pearlman but there were also a few other intriguing guests in the room including Eli Radke (read his legend!) , EconomicDisconnect blogger, Bob Nelson & Adam Feuerstein.
Todd Sullivan – General Partner at Rand Strategic Partners and author of ValuePlays talked about the benefits and examples of value investing.

His philosophy is to buy assets worth $1 book value for less and sell them for $1. Please note to the novice investors that this doesn’t mean buy stocks that are trading for $1 or less and selling them when they reach $1… in value investing you look at the Book Value or the NAV (don’t always rely on the values on financial sites so do your own research by digging through the 10-k forms of companies). Fore example if the NAV is $10 and the stock currently trades for $5 then the stock is trading at half book value (aka less than $1) and might be a value stock IF there isn’t anything shady or wrong with the company and a great buying opportunity for huge gains down the road.

Todd prefers the balance sheet approach versus looking at earnings of the stocks since earnings can get easily manipulated by companies and the balance sheets are usually reflecting the real picture.  Among the indicators  such as Book Value and NAV (Net Asset Value) he also looks at cash reserves and cash flow of a company.
The time frame for value investing spans from 1-3 years on average and Value investing is NOT a buy and hold strategy.  When asked what screening process he uses to find value stocks Todd replied that no screening process can be applied as there are too many one time events which can’t be accounted in the screening software.


Up next was Josh Brown – Author of the great new book Backstage Wall Street and the Reformed Broker Blog.  Advisor at Fusion Analytics.

[mp3player height=20 width=150 config=fmp_jw_widget_config.xml playlist=joshbrown2012.xml] << Listen to presentation (Run-time: 36 minutes) Note:NSFW!

A former Wall Street retail stock broker for 10 years during the secular bear market, Josh dropped his series 7 license and he is now a Wealth Manager (Adviser) at Fusion Analytics where he is not commission based but gives advice for a fee and has the client’s best interest in mind. He started off the presentation discussing the power of money and how emotional we are about it as money sometimes represents flexibility, sex appeal, status, safety etc.

Josh is optimistic about the potential America still has as there is a great wealth in this country contrary to what the news media tells us every day. As of April 2012 there were $58.4 trillion dollars in total household assets after debts and liabilities, $28.6 is investable assets some of which is already invested and some is cash. He also argued that home prices have stopped falling and according to Josh the Case Schiller index is a very flawed indicator as it uses only 20 cities.

Of course, Josh also neutralized his upbeat optimistic approach when he mentioned the fact that  now it costs more to live your daily life, with higher gas prices, food prices, health-care costs and their projected costs in the future. He briefly mentioned on the wealth transfer predicted 15 years ago from the boomers that didn’t happen and boomers are now living past the life expectancy of 78 and 25% of them are living past 90 years which complicates things when people plan their retirement because they need to plan for longer term than before.

Another important thing to remember is that no matter which party wins in this election this November, taxes are going higher the only difference is in which taxes are going higher or how much, either side has their opinions on that issue.  The Bush era tax cuts are expiring at the end of this year including  capital gains and dividend income to health-care etc and while the whole thing won’t go away due to lobbyists but we are going towards a Fiscal Cliff which Josh has now claimed the twitter hash-tag for it and believes it will be the hot topic coming the summer and towards the end of the year.

57% of the boomers have saved less than $100k for retirement and this is almost half of our country so it’s not an easy fact to digest. It’s getting harder to save and get returns because you can’t invest in safe bond funds that are producing 1-2% when inflation is 2-4%. If Apple didn’t exist the stock market would be the least popular thing on earth and it used to be an American past time 10-15 years ago. There are $377 billion of individual stocks and bonds being pulled out of the market every year.
The fed is not going to do anything to raise interest rates, they are stuck. Debt service rates are low and the government can continue to serve our debt. Rates could stay low for a very very long time in Japan style fashion (although US is not Japan in other ways). The Fed can issue currency and has a standing army around the world while the European countries cannot print money on their own (the ones part of EU).

Stocks will become even more important as investing in treasuries and bonds it is not a way to go in saving for the future with inflation higher than the returns produced there and stocks will be needed even more in the future although they are the most hated by main street according to the USA Today’s headline on May 8th (what a coincidence). $40 trillion in investable assets $13 trillion in retirement accounts will need to be managed and the future is bright for financial advisers of the future.

Active traders are going to options market and the option market is exploding and so is the forex due to the leverage provided in those markets. The inactive people are going into treasuries and cash and staying away from stocks and perhaps some money has gone into physical gold which will not end well. The last point Josh made which not many can come to terms with is that news has already been processed and disintegrated in the matrix of global economy by the time it gets to CNBC and other media stations so be aware that everyone has seen these headlines and the information has been priced into the market by the time you get to it.   For more interesting bits listen to the audio above.


After a brief break we  got the opportunity to hear from the awesome JC Parets – Chartered Market Technician. Author of AllStarCharts. Private money manager.

[mp3player height=20 width=150 config=fmp_jw_widget_config.xml playlist=jcparets2012.xml]  << Listen to presentation (Run-time: 44 minutes)

JC is a Technical Analyst and the takes the top/down approach by looking at the big picture of the economy then he looks at sectors within the industry and finds the sectors he wants to go long or short (Materials, Technology, Financials etc), he then decides how to best take advantage of the situation by either investing in Index ETF’s or individual stocks within those sectors.
He started the talk off with an experiment to which we are awaiting results to. First question asked what the next 20% move would be in the S&P. Next question asked if you could only own one stock and hold it for 1 year which would it be… what if you had to hold it for 10 years which stock would you pick?

He then followed by a quote which highlighted that technical analysis is the “action of the market itself”. Among the topics that JC touched up on during his presentation Risk management, sentiment, momentum, seasonality & risk/reward were some of them.

Some technicians overcomplicate things with a load of indicators and others have a Keep it Simple Stupid approach but what they all have in common is risk management. For example if you let a stock drawdown 50% you need the stock to make 100% to break even which is somewhat unrealistic when compared to a 10% loss that needs a 20% gain to break even.

Seasonality, certain times of year stocks do well and certain times they aren’t and he is interested in knowing when these happen and he can or cannot use it to his advantage if he decides to. The other important topic is short term Momentum, if stocks are making new highs the momentum needs to be making new highs, if there is divergence then something is not right.
We’ve been in a secular bear market for past 12 years and usually those markets last for 16 years so we maybe have another 4-5 more years to go until the next bull market.

The trend in stocks relative to gold last for decades. J.C.’s Dow/Gold ratio chart is his favorite chart, historically the market bottoms when that ratio is 1:1 and right now we are at 8:1 so we need more time to bottom out to at least 3:1.
For more interesting bits listen to the audio above.


Last speaker of the day was Dr. Phil Pearlman – Executive Editor, StockTwits. Psychologist. Author of The StockTwits Edge and Phil Pearlman Blog.

[mp3player height=20 width=150 config=fmp_jw_widget_config.xml playlist=philpearlman2012.xml] << Listen to presentation (Run-time: 17 minutes)

Phil’s talk on trader psychology was insightful and invigorating. You never can talk about what market experience is like relative to what that experience actually is unless you’re actually in the situation. People love the action (trading etc) that is why Vegas exists and a lot of trading occurs simply because of the action and nothing more.  Phil’s favorite quote touched a bit on what JC talked about in risk management above “Loses loom larger than gains”, we have a biological bias to hold onto our losers dearly and act like we don’t have them and avoid them pretend we don’t have them and we will nurse them and get crushed, but we are hard wired to sell our winners too soon as well so we need to adapt by taking risk off.

His last quote by Mike Tyson was “Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face” sums it all up because when we get into the trading rink we will get your face kicked in and punched in and you will have learned from it next time you get into the market and you won’t get killed again when you get punched because you’ll hold onto your plan. Even the most unnatural behaviors like ballet can be learned even though they are extremely unnatural but trading requires the same learning discipline …  For more interesting bits listen to the audio above.


Of course after the end of it all we had a lot of fun walking around Harvard Square and ended the night with a couple of drinks. Unfortunately I had other plans and didn’t stick till the end but thanks again for a great afternoon guys!

Update: We all seem to be on the same page and posted on the same day.. go over have a look if you’ve made it this far. 🙂
Eli Radke’s Overview of the Symposium: 
Josh Brown’s Back to School Presentation
Phil Pearlman’s The False Truths of Social Finance
J.C. Parets  Talking Technicals at Harvard

-Investing Freak


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More Coolaid: Market is getting thirsty ($AAPL , $SPY)

Posted by Investing Freak on March 21, 2012
Market Analysis / Comments Off on More Coolaid: Market is getting thirsty ($AAPL , $SPY)

The following chart is the ratio of $SPX and AAPL and the pattern they formed which has retraced nicely into an almost perfect harmonic pattern.

I’ll leave it up to you for further research but here is a chart I’m studying and to me either uncle Benny provides more liquid or we’ll get thirsty soon.  Europe is already dehydrated.   If you don’t like analogies or can’t understand them… what I’m saying is that we don’t have much upside left so I’ll be Fearful now that everyone is greedy and regretful that they didn’t invest more.  The big boys got the sheeple where they want them and slaughtering will begin.

I’m lightening up at this point on positions, not all but a bit of a hedge is good too.

Asset Allocation based on Volatility [Video]

Posted by Investing Freak on February 27, 2012
General / Comments Off on Asset Allocation based on Volatility [Video]

The following video demonstrates an excel spreadsheet I created and how it’s to be used to make more informed and mechanical decisions as to how much to buy or where to max out.  The main information i used was from the Turtle Traders allocation formulas found widely on the web.

I won’t be posting the actual excel spreadsheet here just yet. Enjoy the video and ask questions.

Asset Allocation from InvestingFreak.

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Technical Analysis 101 [Video]

Posted by Investing Freak on February 13, 2012
General / Comments Off on Technical Analysis 101 [Video]

The following Video gives the basics of  Technical analysis using live examples as well.  It runs nearly 40 minutes so to not waste your time, if you know what support & resistances are, what moving averages and trendlines are then you can skip this post entirely.   Its the first screencast recorded and published so feedback is welcomed.

Technical Analysis 101 from InvestingFreak

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